According to the latest data, as we enter the middle of February, last year’s trajectory ended as the hottest on record, and the temperature for the 12 months up to February 2024 is 1.52℃ higher than before the temperature rise. It is breaking the temperature record. industry average.
The surface temperature on February 9th, the latest day for which data is available, was 13.7°C, an anomaly of 1.3°C, the hottest February on record, and just below the Paris Agreement standard of 1.5°C. Ta.
Temperatures on February 9 were almost 1 degree Celsius higher than the 12.8 degrees Celsius recorded on the same day last year, according to data from the University of Maine’s ClimateReanalyser.
Storms, droughts, wildfires and extreme winters have been followed by high temperatures in parts of the world, accelerating the climate crisis with the naturally occurring El Niño phenomenon that started last year, causing record warming in 2023 and a calendar year. It is likely to be the hottest year ever. For the past 100,000 years.
The average temperature for six of the past seven months (July 2023, September 2023, October 2023, November 2023, December 2023, and January 2024) has exceeded the standard value of 1.5℃. I surpassed it. The two months of March 2023 and his August 2023 recorded an average of 1.49°C, barely below the 1.5°C standard.
Extreme heat was also observed in the global oceans, setting a new record for sea surface temperatures on the same day, with the average temperature reaching 21.2 degrees Celsius.
Although temperatures have fallen since then, temperatures have remained above 21 degrees Celsius, indicating the amount of heat absorbed by the ocean, and even if the El Niño that began last year turns into a La Niña, next year will be an even warmer year. I have a feeling it will become. The latest forecasts show.
“The amount of heat in the ocean has reached an all-time high. As that heat is released into the atmosphere, global temperatures are expected to continue rising into 2024. It’s almost certain that it will break through the wall, and in some cases it could even exceed 1.6 degrees Celsius,” said former professor Elliott Jacobson. He is an expert in mathematics and computer science, he said in an email interview.
The ocean absorbs 90% of the heat caused by human-induced climate change. At the beginning of this year, temperatures have already risen to 0.8 degrees Celsius above the pre-industrial average.
Berkeley geoscientist Zeke Hausfather told the Guardian that rising temperatures in recent weeks are on track to warm the planet by 2C above pre-industrial levels.
“We think it is likely that February 2024 will beat the previous record set in 2016, but weather models suggest that global temperatures will drop again next week, so this is not foreseeable at this point. “This is not a definitive conclusion.” He stressed that climate change is becoming increasingly unstable and difficult to predict.
